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Are Manchester United actually overachieving? The data suggests they could be

The Red Devils have outperformed expectations so far this season, according to ‘expected goals’. But nowhere near as much as Manchester City

For Manchester United, some of the season’s opening chapters have been bleak. Despite a morale-boosting win against Juventus on Wednesday, in the Premier League the Red Devils find themselves nine points off leaders Manchester City, who they face on Sunday in the 177th edition of the Manchester derby.

But as bad as the first three months have been for United, José Mourinho’s men will enter the Etihad Stadium having actually exceeded expectations so far – at least by one measure.

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